Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“I can guarantee you—humans will act crazy . I can't guarantee the same about artificial general intelligence.”
· We Shouldn't Fear Artificial General Intelligence more than Human General Intelligence · substack post

Closing section. The author contrasts the certainty of future human irrationality with uncertainty about how artificial general intelligence will behave.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.