Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I would probably want to set another key result to guide me when I revisit the original goal and its measurement.”
· What Happens When You Make Perfection... a Failure? · substack post

Author reflects that publishing daily was not an audacious enough OKR key result for the newsletter (he hit it more than 70% of the time) and says he will probably set another key result when he revisits the goal.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.