Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I will calculate that for my readers at the end of this quarter, and you can see how I did.”
· What Happens When You Make Perfection... a Failure? · substack post

In an essay on OKRs (Measure What Matters, John Doerr), the author says he publishes almost every day and commits to calculating and publishing his daily-publication rate for The Frontier Psychiatrists at the end of the current quarter (Q4 2023).

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.