Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 14 Sep 2022 · owen-0174

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Between Dr. Nolan Williams at Stanford and Drs. Abraham Zangen and Aron Tendler ... I think we have a few Nobel Prize candidates in psychiatry again, finally!”
· New Hope, for OCD, Is Insurance Covered*, Thanks to This Very Persuasive Newsletter · substack post

Aside about the SAINT (Stanford) and BrainsWay deep TMS researchers; the author calls them Nobel Prize candidates.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.

← Earlier · Later → · All statements