Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Normative

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 14 Sep 2022 · owen-0173

Quote

Normative

“When this treatment is done in an accelerated fashion ... 20% of patients still get to remission in only five days. This data needs to be replicated in sham controlled studies, but likely not large ones. There’s very low placebo response in trOCD”
· New Hope, for OCD, Is Insurance Covered*, Thanks to This Very Persuasive Newsletter · substack post

On accelerated deep TMS for OCD (20% remission in five days, likened to Stanford SAINT): the author expects replication in sham-controlled studies will not need large trials because placebo response in treatment-resistant OCD is very low.

'Should', 'must', 'ought to', 'needs to' with no predictive reading.

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