True · Brier 0.25
Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026
Owen Scott Muir · Said 6 Jul 2022 · owen-0064
Quote
“Cerebral may be guilty of a variety of regulatory and other missteps or crimes—we will find out soon enough.”
Part 7, near the end. The author hedges on whether Cerebral committed regulatory violations or crimes and expects the answer soon, with investigations and reporting under way.
Intake
- EventA proposition written from a template on the asset, with a resolution criterion and a named public source, before the outcome is looked up. The same event resolves every person's items on it. Method ›
- Cerebral: government enforcement outcome over its prescribing practices
- AreaOne of five topic classes: regulatory decisions, clinical trial outcomes, company and market outcomes, payer and policy, practice adoption. Every event has one area. Method ›
- Regulatory decisions
- DeadlineThe date by which the event must happen for the item to be true. It comes only from the person's words through the anchor table. Method ›
- None stated · undated panelItems with no deadline in the person's words, scored on a uniform 24-month window from the statement date. Part of the headline panel since rules 1.1.0; also shown on its own. Method ›, 24-month window to 6 Jul 2024
- Probability
- 0.50 LexiconThe fixed five-bin table that turns a phrase into a probability. The strongest phrase in the claim sentence decides; coders never read tone. Method › · binOne of five lexicon steps: A 'will' 0.90, B 'probably' 0.70, C 'may' 0.50, D 'unlikely' 0.30, E 'never' 0.10. A stated number goes to the nearest bin for calibration only. Method › C · “may be guilty”
- Base rateThe probability a published external study gives an event of that class and stage, fixed at intake. Halved when the item window is shorter than the class median time to decision. Never learned from the ledger's own items. Method ›
- None in the table
- Tags
- retrospective
- Coder BCohen's kappa: agreement between two coders beyond chance, from -1 to 1. Reported for admit, event, deadline, bin and asserts from the second-coder match test. Method ›
- admittedA statement that passed intake: sincere, the person's own claim, forward-looking, inside the five areas, and not excluded by a reason code. Only admitted statements become items. Method › · event E-0005 · deadline none · bin C
Registry entry
A court or government agency convicts, sanctions, rules against, or accepts a settlement from Cerebral (or its executives) for regulatory violations or crimes in its prescribing or business practices.
TRUE on the docket date of a verdict, sentence, judgment, consent order or filed settlement in which a US federal or state court, or a federal or state enforcement agency (for example the Department of Justice, the DEA, the FTC, a state attorney general or a state medical board), convicts, sanctions, enters judgment against, or accepts a settlement or consent order from Cerebral, Inc. or a current or former Cerebral executive over Cerebral's controlled-substance prescribing or business practices. A subpoena, an announced investigation, an unresolved complaint or indictment, a private lawsuit or a voluntary policy change by Cerebral does not count. Resolution source: the court docket on CourtListener or PACER, with the DOJ or agency press release fixing the date of an agency settlement or order. FALSE at the deadline when no such docket entry or agency order exists.
Resolution source: Court docket (CourtListener or PACER); DOJ or agency press release as a secondary source
How to read
Coder A
Resolution
- State
- True
- Effective deadlineAn item enters the score only when its deadline has passed and the outcome is true or false. A claim already known true still waits for its deadline. Method ›
- 6 Jul 2024
- Outcome1 if the registry event happened on or before the item's deadline, 0 if it did not. Written by a resolver who never sees p. Method ›
- occurred on 28 Dec 2023 · checked through 13 Sep 2026
- Resolver note
- Occurred. First qualifying docket entry: the FTC-referred stipulated order against Cerebral, Inc. (permanent injunction, $5.1M consumer redress, $10M civil penalty with $2M payable) over its data-disclosure and cancellation business practices, filed by DOJ in U.S. v. Cerebral, Inc., No. 1:24-cv-21376 (S.D. Fla.), Document 6 entered on the docket 2024-04-15 (complaint filed 2024-04-12; the FTC copy shows the judge's signature block blank, so court entry came later). The criterion counts a filed settlement over 'prescribing or business practices'. The prescribing-specific outcome came later: the EDNY non-prosecution agreement da | overturned on recheck: The recorded resolution counts the FTC stipulation over data and cancellation practices as a settlement over Cerebral's 'business practices'. Under the same reading an earlier qualifying settlement exists. On 2023-12-28 the New York Attorne
- Evidence
- Attorney General James Secures $740,000 from Online Mental Health Provider for its Burdensome Cancellation Process (Cerebral: $200,000 penalties, $540,162 restitution) · 28 Dec 2023
- New York AG Orders Cerebral to Pay for Cumbersome Cancelation Process · 3 Jan 2024
- Joint Stipulation for Order for Permanent Injunction, Monetary Judgment, Civil Penalty Judgment, and Other Relief Against Defendant Cerebral, Inc. (U.S. v. Cerebral, Inc., No. 1:24-cv-21376-JLK, S.D. Fla., Document 6, entered on FLSD docket 04/15/2024) · 15 Apr 2024
- Proposed FTC Order will Prohibit Telehealth Firm Cerebral from Using or Disclosing Sensitive Data for Advertising Purposes, and Require it to Pay $7 Million · 15 Apr 2024
- Cerebral, Inc. and Kyle Robertson, U.S. v. (timeline item, complaint and joint stipulation filed) · 15 Apr 2024
- United States v. Cerebral, Inc., 1:24-cv-21376 (S.D. Fla.), docket (date filed 2024-04-12; cause 15:0045 Federal Trade Commission Act) · 12 Apr 2024
- Non-Prosecution Agreement between the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Eastern District of New York and Cerebral, Inc. (letter dated November 1, 2024) · 1 Nov 2024
- Telehealth Company Cerebral Agrees to Pay Over $3.6 Million in Connection with Business Practices
- Cerebral to Pay $3.6M Settlement Over Unauthorized Distribution of Controlled Substances · 4 Nov 2024
- United States of America v. Cerebral, Inc., 1:22-cv-00055 (N.D. Iowa), qui tam docket (US declined intervention 2023-10-13; voluntary dismissal 2023-11-05; case terminated 2023-11-06) · 22 Jun 2022
Adversarial recheck
overturned (date): The recorded resolution counts the FTC stipulation over data and cancellation practices as a settlement over Cerebral's 'business practices'. Under the same reading an earlier qualifying settlement exists. On 2023-12-28 the New York Attorney General announced an agreement under which Cerebral, Inc. pays $200,000 in penalties and $540,162 in restitution to 16,552 New Yorkers for a burdensome cancellation process, charges after cancellation and manipulated online reviews. A state attorney general is a named enforcement agency, and the criterion fixes an agency settlement's date by the agency press release. I found no earlier qualifying action: the N.D. Iowa qui tam was dismissed without judgment, and the DOJ and FTC matters closed later. The first-true date moves from 2024-04-15 to 2023-12-28; the state is unchanged.
How to read
Registry
Timeline
1 claim against 60 events in the field.
Regulatory decisions