Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Violating standards invites malpractice lawsuits. Therefore, were the law for post-operative chest-stabbing passed, it would create a problem for the medical malpractice carriers covering surgeons. Families would sue, and win.”
· Post Roe Crisis: Mandatory Malpractice Creates Problems for Health Care · substack post

Hypothetical analogy: a law mandating surgeons stab patients stands in for abortion bans that force doctors to violate standards of care. Underlying claim: bans will create problems for malpractice carriers, and families will sue doctors and win.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.