Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Turning back the clock fifty years on Roe will lead to similarly catastrophic outcomes—physician shortages, dead patients beyond those seeking abortions, and tax liability for large employers in impacted states.”
· Post Roe Crisis: Mandatory Malpractice Creates Problems for Health Care · substack post

Thesis of the July 1 essay, via an H. G. Wells 'Time Machine' analogy. Predicted consequences of Roe v. Wade being overturned: physician shortages, deaths beyond abortion seekers, and tax liability for large employers in states with abortion bans.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.