Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)
Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026
Rick Doblin · Said 2 Dec 2021 · doblin-0161
Quote
Commitment (own venture)
“The next reality check for us is going to be in May, 2022, when we get the interim analysis for the second Phase 3 study. If that looks good, then the chances are higher that we will get FDA approval. Which means if we need money, the risk is lower and we should be able to make a better deal. Then in October of 2022, we should have the results from the second Phase 3 study.”
Lucid News Q&A. MAPP2 interim analysis in May 2022 and results in October 2022; cost of capital expected to fall as risk drops.
The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.