Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Rick Doblin · Said 2 Dec 2021 · doblin-0160

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Well, the Boston Consulting Group said $70 or $80 million. I think that's likely to be high, because we're unlike the normal effort to commercialize drugs.”
· Rick Doblin Explains MAPS' New $70 Million Investment Fund With Vine Ventures – Lucid News · interview

Lucid News Q&A. Doblin expects MDMA commercialization costs to come in below BCG's $70-80M estimate because only MAPS-trained therapists can deliver the treatment.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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