Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“It'll cost us like another 30 or a million or so to bring research and obtain approval from the European Medicines Agency. It's so much less expensive than in the U.S. because the Europeans will accept all our U.S. data. And so we only have to do one phase three study in Europe.”
· The Joe Rogan Experience #1661 - Rick Doblin (transcript) · podcast

Doblin on Joe Rogan #1661 estimates the cost of European research and EMA approval at roughly $30 million and says only one Phase 3 study will be needed in Europe.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.