Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)
Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026
Rick Doblin · Said 7 Apr 2016 · doblin-0043
Quote
Commitment (own venture)
“The study will be three years. Then we'll learn from it, and we'd probably need to do another three, four-year study, a phase three, because this is just phase two.”
Doblin on Joe Rogan #782 lays out the timeline for the MAPS smoked-marijuana PTSD study: a three-year Phase 2, then a further three- to four-year Phase 3.
The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.