Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

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Commitment (own venture)

“These numbers aren't directly compared to esketamine, but they're actually better than the numbers in esketamine treatment, and we'll have more large-scale data on that soon.”
· Q&A: Accelerated TMS Speeds Suicidal Ideation Relief, With Owen Muir, MD (HCPLive) · interview

HCPLive Q&A. Muir places accelerated Deep TMS as first-line for acute suicidality in his algorithm and expects more large-scale comparative data soon.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.