Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I’m going to write about one of those hidden wounds. This will not be about Post-traumatic stress disorder.”
· Twenty-Five September 11ths · substack post

After describing Homebase (a Massachusetts General Hospital and Boston Red Sox Foundation program for special operations forces), the author announces his topic: a hidden wound of warriors other than PTSD, which the rest of the post identifies as repeated blast exposure.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.