Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“The category is worth understanding on its own terms: whether hearing a command compels obeying it is precisely the question a second jury would be asked to weigh.”
· Was Lindsay Clancy Psychotic? · substack post

Author's bridging paragraph before David Carreon's comments on command auditory hallucinations. It presupposes a second Clancy trial and predicts that its central question will be whether a command hallucination compels obedience.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.