Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Chris Aiken will point to the diagnostic clue that was sitting in the chart the whole time: three days without sleep, on sertraline.”
· The Lindsay Clancy Mistrial · substack post

Preview of Part 2: Chris Aiken (Carlat Psychiatry Report) is to flag three days of insomnia on sertraline as a missed diagnostic clue in the Clancy record.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.