Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Next week, in Part 2, I ask the question the jury couldn’t answer: was Lindsay Clancy psychotic?”
· The Lindsay Clancy Mistrial · substack post

Closing section of Part 1. Part 2 of the series is promised for the following week and is to address whether Clancy was psychotic.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.