Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Even being found not criminally responsible in this matter does not mean freedom for Lindsay Clancy. It means spending as many years as the doctors and judges subsequently deem wise. There is no verdict that means that Lindsay Clancy gets away with anything”
· The Lindsay Clancy Mistrial · substack post

Follows the author's description of civil commitment after a not-criminally-responsible verdict (at least six months, annual renewals, no maximum while illness and dangerousness persist) and the Hinckley precedent (34 years at St. Elizabeths). The author asserts that any verdict in Clancy's case, including NCR, results in years of confinement.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.