Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“I have deliberately removed any opinions of my interviewees on what the verdict should be, because a re-trial is likely, or at least plausible.”
· The Lindsay Clancy Mistrial · substack post

Same 'My Editorial Process' section. The author's stated reason for cutting his guests' opinions on the verdict: he expects a second Clancy trial, which he rates 'likely, or at least plausible'.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.