Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 19 Aug 2026 · owen-2341

Quote

Vague or promotional

“The entire premise of this essay is that psychiatrists are likely to respond to incentives in the same way as every other human, and act accordingly. They will prescribe more of what I suspect will be better treatments.”
· Cut the Doctors In on Psychedelics: Subscriber-Only Edition · substack post Paid

Incentive section, after the oncology buy-and-bill comparison. The author predicts that, given margin-on-drug incentives, psychiatrists will prescribe more psychedelic treatments, which he suspects will be better treatments.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

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