Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“It’s a deeply gracious milieu, but with a sense that a rush is about to start for…something. There was a sense of safety on the edge of unease. It’s Pompeii …the week before?”
· A Dispatch From Beijing · substack post

Author's impressions of Beijing under the heading 'Things Could Go To $&@! In a Moment.' He describes controlled chaos and surveillance, says 'China seems always on the brink, or brinks?', and compares the city to Pompeii the week before the eruption.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.