Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 7 Jun 2026 · owen-2274

Quote

Not a forecast

“So, Nolan was correct that the imaging-based targeting matters with very focal coils. He set an agenda for a generation of scientists.”
· Do Brain Scans Have A Place in Depression Treatment? · substack post

The author endorses Joe Taylor's 40-person AINT pilot (80% vs 60% response, effect size 0.8) as showing that fMRI connectivity-guided targeting improves accelerated TMS outcomes with focal coils; implicitly expects this to hold up in replication (borderline: endorsement of a third-party finding).

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.

← Earlier · Later → · All statements