Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“Will United pay more to the company it will later acquire using its increased revenue to justify the acquisition costs while increasing the cost of care for its services busines s and thus increasing its share of the medical loss ratio on both sides of the ledger? Yes, yes, it will.”
· Is Private Equity a Bad Deal? · substack post

Satirical 'math behind a scam' essay on private equity in healthcare. Author describes the PE roll-up playbook: buy 51% of a practice, negotiate higher payer contracts, then sell to a payer-owned services arm (United, Cigna, CVS). Rhetorical question answered in the affirmative: United will pay more to companies it later acquires, raising the cost of care and its services-side share of the medical loss ratio.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.