Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)
Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026
Owen Scott Muir · Said 6 May 2026 · owen-2226
Quote
Commitment (own venture)
“This year, offered to throw me a party. I didn’t have the time. I’ll get to it next year.”
Birthday post (the author turned 40-odd on May 6). Someone (name stripped in the text) offered a birthday party this year; he declined for lack of time and says he will do it next year. Personal plan, half-joking.
The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.