Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“you're creating a model of how other people— people with power, influence, and enterprise subscriptions to these things— are gonna be using these tools to interact with the world”
· I Have a Confession to Make · substack post

Point of the plant-watering agent exercise: readers build a mental model of how people with power, influence and enterprise AI subscriptions are going to use agent tools to interact with the world and, sometimes, with the reader.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.