Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“I'm saying it's a good idea to have a sense of how AI tools like Claude are gonna change how other people are doing things.”
· I Have a Confession to Make · substack post

Author's rationale for readers to try Claude Code: AI tools like Claude are going to change how other people do things, so readers should understand them to be prepared. He explicitly does not say readers must use AI daily.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.