Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I've even heard rumors that there will be merch. There will definitely be books.”
· I Have a Confession to Make · substack post

Same paragraph: what will be on offer at the RAMHT 2026 SF live event on May 16, 2026. A hedged claim that there will be merchandise (rumors) and a firm claim that his print books will be available there.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.