Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“It's not huge yet”
· That is Super-Gonorrhea, To You. · substack post

Public-health update on cephalosporin non-susceptible ('super') gonorrhea in New York City. After asking 'How big a problem is this?', the author says it is not huge yet, then quotes NYC data: 0.4% of 2025 isolates showed reduced susceptibility to ceftriaxone or cefixime.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.