Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This excuse is going to run out quickly.”
· Humility v. Ambition in My Ten-Year-Old Twins · substack post

The author's son Trent declines to use a knife for dinner prep, saying 'Come on, Dad, I'm not even 10!' The author predicts this excuse will stop working soon because Trent has just turned 10.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.