Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“It is now pretty clear to me that AI is going to be a huge technology. Chatbots are good, but agents? Holy cow.”
· AI Won't Replace Me! · substack post

After arguing that AI companies have thin margins and subsidize users, the author reports that Claude Code fixed the image files for his book Inessential Pharmacology, and concludes that AI, especially agentic AI, will be a huge technology.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.