Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 27 Feb 2026 · owen-2110

Quote

Not a forecast

“This is why I think time-to-event trials in bipolar disorder are great. My dream outcome measure is time-to-girlfriend. ... It would work in schizophrenia, too!”
· Ahmed Tahseen, M.D. on Bipolar Mania, Clinical Trials, and Friendship's Role in Getting Well · substack post

Interview with Ahmed Tahseen, section 'Time-to-Event Trials and the Outcomes That Matter'. The author argues for time-to-event endpoints (time to romantic relationship, time to job, time to feeling okay) in bipolar disorder trials and asserts the same design would work in schizophrenia trials; he imagines a fictional drug 'Goplexitol' improving time to relationship by 3.1 months.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.

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