Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 22 Feb 2026 · owen-2087

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Dan Week Part V is coming next!”
· Dan Karlin Went Back to Work In the Pandemic Era Bronx ICU · substack post

Closing line of Part IV of 'Dan Week' (Dan Karlin's account of working in a Bronx ICU during COVID). The author announces Part V as the next installment.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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