Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This will end as poorly as it has in every other place it's been implemented. It may be a decision, a series of trade-offs, we're comfortable with, but we haven't been frank enough with ourselves to have that conversation.”
· New York's New Medically Assisted Aid In Dying Law Will Be Used to Kill The Mentally Ill · substack post

Central forecast of the essay: New York's MAiD law will produce the same outcomes as the Netherlands and Canada (use by psychiatric patients, rising numbers, deaths of vulnerable young people).

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.