Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 11 Dec 2025 · owen-1965

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“We are (in full disclosure) bringing a depression treatment device to market soon.”
· Depression Treated At-Home Without Meds? A First FDA-Approved Device is Here · substack post

Disclosure that the author is CMO of Radial and of Neurolief, an at-home neuromodulation company, which is bringing a depression treatment device to market soon.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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