Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 2 Dec 2025 · owen-1960

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I’ve written about cohort studies before, and I’m sure I will again.”
· Losing Someone You Love To Suicide is (Literal) Poison · substack post

Aside while introducing the JAMA Network Open household-suicide cohort study (100 Million Brazilian Cohort); the author plans to write about cohort studies again in the newsletter.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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