Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“I stand firm that the data suggest that mass shootings only happen with guns, and that restricting access to guns would reduce mass shootings, because obviously.”
· Can We Prevent Suicide? · substack post

After conceding that individual-level evidence that firearm restriction reduces suicide is weak, the author holds firm that restricting access to guns would reduce mass shootings.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.