Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 21 Aug 2025 · owen-1874

Quote

Vague or promotional

“We have learned, since then, that functional unblinding will be THE issue on which these compounds and their administration protocols are judged.”
· "No formal assessment of blinding integrity...was conducted" Psychedelic Research Can't Go Back in Time, Can It? · substack post Paid

Review of Ross et al. (General Hospital Psychiatry, 2025), a Usona-sponsored phase 2b trial of psilocybin vs niacin in 35 patients with life-threatening illness that did not assess blinding. After the FDA advisory committee on MDMA, the author predicts functional unblinding will be the decisive issue on which psychedelic compounds and protocols are judged.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

← Earlier · Later → · All statements