Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This is a flaw, albeit an overcomeable one, and how large language models are trained.”
· LinkedIn at 10,000 Followers: A Retrospective. · substack post

Section on mentalizing. The author says LLMs are trained on what people wanted to say, not on what people wanted to hear, and calls this a flaw that can be overcome.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.