Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“They may not want to pay for care that doesn't work, and honestly, I think that's a good idea.”
· Does Intervention After Self-Harm Save Young Lives? · substack post

'They' are insurance companies. After urging that insurers pay for specialized self-harm therapies that include families, the author notes insurers may decline to pay for non-specialized care (treatment as usual), which the meta-analysis shows does not reduce self-harm.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.