Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“An important note: I'm highly dubious that, absent a much larger data set, we would see a difference. Death is a rare outcome in young people.”
· Does Intervention After Self-Harm Save Young Lives? · substack post

Commentary on Mughal, Young et al. (JCPP Advances), a meta-analysis of therapeutic interventions after adolescent self-harm (29 RCTs, 3470 participants). The pooled analysis found no difference in mortality; the author expects no mortality difference will be shown without a much larger dataset.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.