Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“One in five girls will be a victim of child sexual abuse.”
· Epstein Was A Symptom of a Public Health Problem · substack post

Essay framing Jeffrey Epstein as a symptom of a public-health-scale child sexual abuse (CSA) problem. The author states the prevalence of CSA as one in five girls (and one in twenty boys), citing Finkelhor et al. 2009 and the National Center for Victims of Crime, and compares it with cardiovascular disease prevalence in New York State.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.