Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“The first version of this hypothesis demonstrated in a randomized control trial was done by Ellie Cole et. (Along with senior author and future Nobel prize recipient Nolan Williams, M.D.)”
· Are Brain Circuits Driving Depression? · substack post

Opening paragraph of a post on lesion-network mapping and H-coil TMS placement. In passing, the author calls Nolan Williams (senior author of the SNT/SAINT trial, 79 percent remission) a 'future Nobel prize recipient'.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.