Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“This is an outcome I can believe, and I look forward to reading the paper, impatiently.”
· NEWS BLAST! COMP360, HHS wants to simplify Prior Auth, Radial is Here, and I'm Back on The Carlat Podcast! · substack post

News item on Compass Pathways' COMP360 (synthetic psilocybin) meeting its primary endpoint in one of its two FDA approval trials (MADRS mean difference -3.6 points). The author finds the modest, placebo-adjusted effect credible, judges the blind held, and expects a full paper to be published, which he anticipates reading.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.