Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Announcement of results from the BrainsWay-sponsored multisite accelerated Deep TMS non-inferiority RCT (Hanlon et al., n=104; 78% remission in the accelerated arm). The paper is submitted but not on a preprint server; the author says it is forthcoming and readers will read it later.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.