Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“You're going to pull that trigger. More often than not. And that's about a thousand times a year.”
· Say His Name: Five Years Since Mr. George Floyd · substack podcast

Podcast transcript recorded in 2020 after George Floyd's killing, republished 2025-05-26. The author argues that an armed police officer called to a mental-health crisis, told to protect himself and knowing no consequences follow, will shoot 'more often than not', about a thousand times a year.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.