Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“as much as I actually believe that the total addressable market of a disruptive company in the lab testing space could possibly be huge”
· Theranos..for Pets! · substack post

The author revisits his earlier satirical article arguing that Theranos's investment thesis is still venture-fundable. He states sincerely that the total addressable market for a disruptive lab-testing company could be huge, before saying he meant the article as satire because Elizabeth Holmes is in jail for fraud.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.