Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Keep in mind the best predictor of completing suicide is attempted suicide. Those attempts will turn into completed suicides later. We don’t know which ones.”
· "The Mental Health Crisis" ...is a Crisis · substack post

After CDC youth data (nearly 1 in 3 girls seriously considered suicide, up about 60% in a decade; rising attempt rates), the author states that some of today's suicide attempts will become completed suicides in the future.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.