Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Legal cannabis means that all the people who were kept away from cannabis by its criminal status might begin using cannabis now. Even old people. It makes the cannabis market—and thus the range of those who ingest it—bigger.”
· Does Cannabis Cause Dementia and Kill You? · substack post

Framing for two Ontario cohort papers (JAMA Neurology, JAMA Network Open) on cannabis-related acute care, dementia and 5-year mortality. The author expects legalization to expand cannabis use and the user base, including older adults.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.