Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Report or scoop

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Report or scoop

“Remember, just earlier this week…where my insider sources told us that on 4/24 there will be a substantial shedding of Optum at Home employees? Yep, that is what sources told me.”
· UnitedHealth Group Loses 22% of Value In A Single Day · substack post

Post dated 2025-04-18 after UnitedHealth Group's 22% one-day share drop. The author restates his 2025-04-13 reporting that insider sources say Optum at Home staff will be let go on April 24, set against CEO Andrew Witty's earnings-call remarks about engaging members in their homes.

The statement passes on information rather than an expectation: cites sources ('I am told', 'sources say'), or names a date for another organization's internal action (layoffs, hires, closures) 30 days or less ahead. Listed in the reports table with a confirmation rate, never scored.