Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Report or scoop

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Report or scoop

“UHG is closing HBMC and Optum at Home by end of month. We were told in a scripted meeting today. ... The rest will get let go 4/24 I’m told. ... I have confirmed this person's identity and employment to the best of my ability.”
· Breaking News: Optum at Home May Be Shutting Down · substack post

Quoted insider source, whose identity and employment the author says he confirmed: UnitedHealth Group is closing HBMC (home based medical care) and Optum at Home by end of April 2025. Post dated 2025-04-13; title hedges with 'May Be Shutting Down'.

The statement passes on information rather than an expectation: cites sources ('I am told', 'sources say'), or names a date for another organization's internal action (layoffs, hires, closures) 30 days or less ahead. Listed in the reports table with a confirmation rate, never scored.